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Friday, October 29, 2010

增值迅速‧有地住宅可長期投資

世邦魏理仕(CBRE)執行主席克里斯托福認為,大馬住宅產業市場不會出現泡沫現象,主要是房屋貸款違約率不高、投機活動少,即使拍賣屋子,主要仍集中在低成本產業,中檔與高檔產業不多。
此外,大馬“建後售”的發展方式,也減少產業市場的波動。
“住宅產業是週期性市場,隨人口節節上升,供應量受波動,房價一般在穩定後會逐漸往上探。”
大馬首季現有住宅房產供應達434萬8千247單位,而巴生河流域佔當中約三分之一,約165萬單位,40萬單位在吉隆坡,120萬在雪州,其餘分布在布城。
建造與計劃中的供應量佔現有供應量約20%,相對大馬建造與計劃中的總供應54萬零755與68萬零338單位,巴生河流域只佔18萬7千515與17萬3千924單位。
首季建設中的供應量佔現有供應約11至12%相等;2006年則介於約16至18%。克里斯托福表示,無論吉隆坡或巴生河流域,建設中的房產比重皆自2006年走低,分別從14與15%,微挫至11與10%。
以現有房產類型來看,在巴生河流域,排屋依然是最受歡迎的產業類型,佔高達38%,反觀吉隆坡,公寓以35%居冠。
然而,克里斯托福強調,未來2至兩年料難以在巴生河流域買到有地住宅,促使有地住宅資本增值迅速。
“因此購買有地住宅從來不是壞主意,但這是中長期投資,而非短期。”
比較特定區域單層排屋2009年交易價與2010年次季詢問價,各據點的詢問價皆較高,敦依斯邁花園(TTDI Aminudding Baki)與孟沙花園的詢問價高達60萬令吉,前者增值步伐迅速,比較2009年交易價只有48萬令吉。
至於雙層排屋,孟沙次季的詢問價衝破120萬令吉,從2009年交易價98萬令吉大幅走高。


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